{"id":199,"date":"2026-05-13T11:03:31","date_gmt":"2026-05-13T03:03:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/junai.ai\/blog\/backtesting-5-pitfalls-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-05-13T11:03:31","modified_gmt":"2026-05-13T03:03:31","slug":"backtesting-5-pitfalls-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/junai.ai\/blog\/backtesting-5-pitfalls-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8, \uc81c\ub300\ub85c \ud558\ub294 \ubc95 \u2014 \ucd08\ubcf4\uac00 \uc18d\ub294 5\uac00\uc9c0 \ud568\uc815"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<!-- WordPress REST API \ubc1c\ud589\uc6a9 HTML (\uc790\ub3d9 \uc0dd\uc131) -->\n<!-- WP-FEATURED-MEDIA-ID: 195 -->\n<div style=\"max-width:800px;margin:0 auto;\">\n<style>\n:root{\n  --color-primary:#1e40af;--color-accent:#3b82f6;--color-bg:#fafafa;--color-bg-card:#ffffff;\n  --color-text:#1e293b;--color-text-muted:#64748b;--hero-start:#0f172a;--hero-end:#1e40af;\n  --font-body:-apple-system,BlinkMacSystemFont,'Apple SD Gothic Neo','Noto Sans KR',sans-serif;\n  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h2{font-size:var(--h2-size);line-height:1.35;letter-spacing:-0.3px;font-weight:800;margin:48px 0 18px;padding-left:14px;border-left:5px solid var(--color-primary);}\narticle h2:first-of-type{margin-top:8px;}\narticle h3{font-size:var(--h3-size);font-weight:700;margin:28px 0 10px;color:#0f172a;}\narticle p{margin:0 0 18px;}\narticle ul,article ol{margin:0 0 18px 4px;padding-left:22px;}\narticle li{margin-bottom:9px;}\narticle strong{color:#0f172a;font-weight:700;}\narticle a{color:var(--color-primary);text-decoration:underline;text-underline-offset:2px;}\narticle code{background:#f1f5f9;padding:1px 6px;border-radius:4px;font-size:0.92em;}\n.intro p:first-child{font-size:19px;color:#334155;}\n.tablewrap{overflow-x:auto;-webkit-overflow-scrolling:touch;margin:22px 0;}\ntable{width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;font-size:15px;background:var(--color-bg-card);}\nth,td{padding:11px 12px;text-align:left;border-bottom:1px solid #e2e8f0;vertical-align:top;}\nth{background:#f1f5f9;font-weight:700;color:#0f172a;}\ntd:first-child,th:first-child{font-weight:700;}\n@media (max-width:560px){\n  .tablewrap table,.tablewrap thead,.tablewrap tbody,.tablewrap tr,.tablewrap th,.tablewrap td{display:block;width:auto;}\n  .tablewrap thead{display:none;}\n  .tablewrap tr{margin:0 0 14px;border:1px solid #e2e8f0;border-radius:10px;overflow:hidden;}\n  .tablewrap td{border:none;border-bottom:1px solid #f1f5f9;padding:9px 14px;}\n  .tablewrap td:first-child{background:#f1f5f9;font-weight:800;font-size:15.5px;}\n  .tablewrap td:last-child{border-bottom:none;}\n  .tablewrap td[data-label]::before{content:attr(data-label) \" \u2014 \";font-weight:700;color:var(--color-primary);}\n}\n.databox{background:#eff6ff;border-left:4px solid var(--color-accent);border-radius:0 8px 8px 0;padding:16px 18px;margin:20px 0;font-size:15.5px;}\n.databox b{color:var(--color-primary);}\n.warnbox{background:linear-gradient(135deg,#fef2f2 0%,#fee2e2 100%);border-radius:10px;padding:16px 18px;margin:22px 0;font-size:15.5px;color:#7f1d1d;}\n.checklist{background:var(--color-bg-card);border:1px solid #e2e8f0;border-radius:12px;padding:18px 22px;margin:18px 0;}\n.checklist li{margin-bottom:10px;}\nfooter{padding:30px 0 50px;text-align:center;color:var(--color-text-muted);font-size:13.5px;}\n@media (max-width:480px){:root{--h1-size:25px;--h2-size:22px;--size-body:16px;}.hero{padding:48px 0 40px;}article{padding:32px 0 16px;}}\n<\/style>\n<header class=\"hero\">\n  <div class=\"wrap\">\n    <span class=\"eyebrow\">\ucd08\ubcf4\ub3c4 \ud558\ub294 AI\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529<\/span>\n    <h1>\ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8, \uc81c\ub300\ub85c \ud558\ub294 \ubc95 \u2014 \ucd08\ubcf4\uac00 \uc18d\ub294 5\uac00\uc9c0 \ud568\uc815<\/h1>\n    <p class=\"sub\">&#8220;\ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8 \uc790\uc0b0\uace1\uc120\uc774 \uae54\ub054\ud55c 45\ub3c4 \uc9c1\uc120&#8221;\uc740 \uc131\uacf5\uc774 \uc544\ub2d9\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud000\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc120 \uadf8\uac74 &#8216;\ubc94\uc8c4 \ud604\uc7a5&#8217;\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6cc\uc694.<\/p>\n    <p class=\"meta\">2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 13\uc77c \uae30\uc900 \u00b7 \uc57d 8\ubd84<\/p>\n  <\/div>\n<\/header>\n\n<div class=\"disclaimer\"><div class=\"wrap\">\uc774 \uae00\uc740 \uc815\ubcf4 \uc81c\uacf5\u00b7\uad50\uc721 \ubaa9\uc801\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b9\uc815 \uc804\ub7b5\u00b7\uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc885\ubaa9\uc744 \uad8c\uc720\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba70, \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ubcf4\uc7a5\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790 \ud310\ub2e8\uacfc \ucc45\uc784\uc740 \uc804\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\uc778\uc5d0\uac8c \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/div><\/div>\n\n<img decoding=\"async\" class=\"hero-img\" src=\"https:\/\/junai.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/hero-26.jpg\" alt=\"\ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc120 +248%\ub85c \uae54\ub054\ud558\uac8c \uc6b0\uc0c1\ud5a5\ud558\ub2e4\uac00 \ub77c\uc774\ube0c\ub85c \ub118\uc5b4\uac00\uba74 \ubb34\ub108\uc9c0\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0\uace1\uc120\uacfc 5\uac00\uc9c0 \ud568\uc815 \ud45c\uc2dc \uc77c\ub7ec\uc2a4\ud2b8 \u2014 \ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8 \ud568\uc815\uc744 \uc0c1\uc9d5\">\n\n<div class=\"wrap\">\n<article>\n\n  <div class=\"intro\">\n    <p>\uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0, \uacfc\uac70 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub85c \ub3cc\ub824\ubd24\ub354\ub2c8 \uc790\uc0b0\uace1\uc120\uc774 \uc6b0\uc0c1\ud5a5 \uc9c1\uc120\uc5d0 \uc0e4\ud504 \ube44\uc728\ub3c4 \uba4b\uc9d1\ub2c8\ub2e4. AI \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \ubd07\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\ub4e0 \uc9c1\uc811 \uaddc\uce59\uc744 \uc9dc\ub4e0, \uc5ec\uae30\uc11c &#8220;\ub410\ub2e4, \uc2e4\uc804 \uac00\uc790&#8221; \ud558\ub294 \uc21c\uac04 \u2014 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84 \ub77c\uc774\ube0c\uc5d0\uc11c \ubb34\ub108\uc9d1\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6b4\uc774 \ub098\ube60\uc11c\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c, <strong>\ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub97c \uc124\uacc4\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc5d0 \uc608\uce21 \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \uc2e4\uc218<\/strong>\uac00 \ub07c\uc5b4 \uc788\uc5b4\uc11c\uc608\uc694.<\/p>\n    <p>\uc774 \uae00\uc740 \uadf8 \uc2e4\uc218 5\uac00\uc9c0 + \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uc7a1\ub294\uc9c0 + \ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub97c \uc2e4\uc804\uc73c\ub85c \uc62e\uae38 \ub54c\uc758 \uc21c\uc11c\ub97c \uc815\ub9ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud55c \uac00\uc9c0\ub9cc \uba3c\uc800: <strong>\ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub294 &#8220;\uacfc\uac70\uc5d0 \uc5e3\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\uc5c8\ub294\uc9c0 \uac80\uc99d\ud558\uace0, \uc5e3\uc9c0 \uc5c6\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac70\ub974\ub294 \ub3c4\uad6c&#8221;\uc774\uc9c0 \ubbf8\ub798\ub97c \ubcf4\uc7a5\ud558\ub294 \uac8c \uc544\ub2d9\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/strong> (\ub2e4\uc2dc \u2014 \uc815\ubcf4 \uc81c\uacf5\uc6a9\uc774\uba70 \ud22c\uc790 \uad8c\uc720\uac00 \uc544\ub2d9\ub2c8\ub2e4.)<\/p>\n  <\/div>\n\n  <h2>\ucd08\ubcf4\uac00 \uc18d\ub294 5\uac00\uc9c0 \ud568\uc815<\/h2>\n  <div class=\"tablewrap\">\n  <table>\n    <thead><tr><th>\ud568\uc815<\/th><th>\uc774\ub7f0 \uac70\ub2e4 \u2014 \uc65c \uc704\ud5d8\ud55c\uac00<\/th><th>\uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uc7a1\ub098<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>\n    <tbody>\n      <tr><td>1. \uc624\ubc84\ud53c\ud305<br>(\ucee4\ube0c \ud53c\ud305\u00b7p-\ud574\ud0b9)<\/td><td data-label=\"\uc774\ub7f0 \uac70\ub2e4 \u2014 \uc65c \uc704\ud5d8\ud55c\uac00\">\ud30c\ub77c\ubbf8\ud130\ub97c \uacfc\uac70 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub531 \ub9de\uc744 \ub54c\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub9cc\uc9c0\uc791\uac70\ub9bc. &#8220;RSI 28.7\uc774 30.0\ubcf4\ub2e4 3%p \ub0ab\ub2e4&#8221;\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uadf8 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc14b\ub9cc\uc758 \uc7a1\uc74c. \uc870\uac74 15\uac1c\uc5d0 \uc2b9\ub960 90%? \ub178\uc774\uc988\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucd98 \uac83 \u2014 \ub77c\uc774\ube0c\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\uc758 \ud655\uc2e4\ud788 \ubb34\ub108\uc9c4\ub2e4.<\/td><td data-label=\"\uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uc7a1\ub098\">\uaddc\uce59 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud558\uac8c, \ud30c\ub77c\ubbf8\ud130 \uc801\uac8c. \ud30c\ub77c\ubbf8\ud130\ub97c \uc0b4\uc9dd \ubc14\uafe8\ub294\ub370 \uc131\uacfc\uac00 \ud3ed\ub77d\ud558\uba74 \uacfc\uc801\ud569 \uc2e0\ud638. &#8220;\ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub85c \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \ud29c\ub2dd&#8221;\ud558\ub824 \ud558\uc9c0 \ub9d0 \uac83.<\/td><\/tr>\n      <tr><td>2. \ub8e9\uc5b4\ud5e4\ub4dc \ubc14\uc774\uc5b4\uc2a4<br>(\ubbf8\ub798 \uc815\ubcf4 \uc0ac\uc6a9)<\/td><td data-label=\"\uc774\ub7f0 \uac70\ub2e4 \u2014 \uc65c \uc704\ud5d8\ud55c\uac00\">\uacb0\uc815 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d4 \uc5c6\uc5c8\ub358 \uc815\ubcf4\ub97c \uc500. &#8220;\uc77c\ubd09\uc774 200\uc77c\uc120 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud558\uba74 \uc9c4\uc785&#8221; \u2014 \uadf8 \ub9c8\uac10\uac00\ub294 \ud558\ub8e8\uac00 \ub05d\ub098\uc57c \uc54c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud0c0\uc784\uc2a4\ud0ec\ud504 \uc815\ub82c \uc2e4\uc218, \uc815\uaddc\ud654\uc5d0 \ubbf8\ub798 \uc218\uc775\ub960 \uc11e\uae30 \ub4f1. \uc81c\uac70\ud558\uba74 \uc131\uacfc\uac00 \ubcf4\ud1b5 \uadf8\ub300\ub85c \ubd95\uad34\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/td><td data-label=\"\uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uc7a1\ub098\">\ubaa8\ub4e0 \uc2e0\ud638\u00b7\uc9c0\ud45c\u00b7\uc815\uaddc\ud654\uac00 &#8216;\uc2dc\uc810 t\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc54c \uc218 \uc788\uc5c8\ub358 \uc815\ubcf4&#8217;\ub9cc \uc4f0\uac8c \uac15\uc81c. \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc815\ub82c\ud560 \ub54c &#8216;\ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \ub3c4\ucc29\ud55c \uc2dc\uac01&#8217; \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c.<\/td><\/tr>\n      <tr><td>3. \uc0dd\uc874 \ud3b8\ud5a5<\/td><td data-label=\"\uc774\ub7f0 \uac70\ub2e4 \u2014 \uc65c \uc704\ud5d8\ud55c\uac00\">\uc9c0\uae08\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0b4\uc544\ub0a8\uc740 \uc885\ubaa9\ub9cc \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\ud558\uace0, \uc0c1\uc7a5\ud3d0\uc9c0\u00b7\ud30c\uc0b0\u00b7\ud569\ubcd1\uc73c\ub85c \uc0ac\ub77c\uc9c4 &#8216;\ubb34\ub364&#8217;\uc744 \ube8c. \uc624\ub298\uc758 \ucf54\uc2a4\ud53c200\/S&#038;P500 \uad6c\uc131\uc885\ubaa9\uc73c\ub85c \ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8 = \ub9dd\ud55c \ud68c\uc0ac \uc218\ubc31 \uac1c \uc81c\uc678 \u2192 \uc218\uc775\ub960 \ubd80\ud480\uace0 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00.<\/td><td data-label=\"\uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uc7a1\ub098\">\uc2dc\uc810\ubcc4\ub85c \uadf8\ub54c\uc758 \uc720\ub2c8\ubc84\uc2a4\ub97c \uc815\uc758\ud558\uace0, \ud3d0\uc9c0\u00b7\uc0c1\ud3d0\ub41c \uc885\ubaa9\uc774 \ud3ec\ud568\ub41c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc14b(survivorship-bias-free)\uc744 \uc4f4\ub2e4. (\uc774\uac74 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ud488\uc9c8 \ubb38\uc81c\ub77c \uc88b\uc740 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc5c6\uc73c\uba74 \ud55c\uacc4 \uc778\uc815.)<\/td><\/tr>\n      <tr><td>4. \uac70\ub798\ube44\uc6a9\u00b7\uc2ac\ub9ac\ud53c\uc9c0 \ubb34\uc2dc<\/td><td data-label=\"\uc774\ub7f0 \uac70\ub2e4 \u2014 \uc65c \uc704\ud5d8\ud55c\uac00\">\uc218\uc218\ub8cc\u00b7\uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\u00b7\uc2ac\ub9ac\ud53c\uc9c0\u00b7funding(\uc790\uae08\uc870\ub2ec) \ube44\uc6a9. \uac70\ub798\ub2f9 0.5R \ubc84\ub294 \uc2a4\uce98\ud551\uc774 \ube44\uc6a9 \ube7c\uba74 \ubcf8\uc804\uc774\uac70\ub098 \ub9c8\uc774\ub108\uc2a4. \ub77c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud2b8\ub9bd $5\uc529, \ud3c9\uade0 \uc218\uc775 $150\uc774\uba74 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \uadf8\ub85c\uc2a4\uc758 3.3%. \uc6d4 200\uac70\ub798\uba74 $1,000 \ub9c8\ucc30. 24% \ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\uac00 \ube44\uc6a9 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uba74 \uc801\uc790\uac00 \ub418\uae30\ub3c4.<\/td><td data-label=\"\uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uc7a1\ub098\">\ud604\uc2e4\uc801 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ucc98\uc74c\ubd80\ud130 \ub123\ub294\ub2e4(\ub099\uad00\uc801 \uac00\uc815 \uae08\uc9c0). \uac70\ub798\uac00 \uc7a6\uc740 \uc804\ub7b5\uc77c\uc218\ub85d \uc774\uac8c \uc0dd\uc0ac\ub97c \uac00\ub978\ub2e4. \u203b \ucf54\uc5b4 \ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8 \uc790\uccb4\uac00 \ud3b8\ud5a5\ub410\uc73c\uba74 \ube44\uc6a9 \ucd94\uac00\ud574\ub3c4 \ubabb \uc0b4\ub9b0\ub2e4 \u2014 1~3\ubc88 \uba3c\uc800.<\/td><\/tr>\n      <tr><td>5. \ud45c\ubcf8 \ubd80\uc871 \/ \ud55c \uad6d\uba74\ub9cc<\/td><td data-label=\"\uc774\ub7f0 \uac70\ub2e4 \u2014 \uc65c \uc704\ud5d8\ud55c\uac00\">\uac70\ub798 10~20\uac1c\ub85c &#8220;\uc798 \ub098\uc654\ub2e4&#8221;\uace0 \ucc29\uac01 \u2014 \ud1b5\uacc4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc758\ubbf8 \uc5c6\uc74c. \ud55c \uac00\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5(\uc0c1\uc2b9\uc7a5\ub9cc, \ub610\ub294 \ud55c \uc885\ubaa9\ub9cc) \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub85c \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\ud558\uba74 \uadf8 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\ub9cc \ub9de\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5.<\/td><td data-label=\"\uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uc7a1\ub098\">\ucd5c\uc18c 2\ub144 \uc774\uc0c1, 100\uac70\ub798 \uc774\uc0c1, \uc0c1\uc2b9\u00b7\ud6a1\ubcf4\u00b7\uace0\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub4f1 \ub2e4\ub978 \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568. \uadf8\ub798\uc57c \uc6b0\uc5f0\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \ud328\ud134\uc778\uc9c0 \uc54c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/td><\/tr>\n    <\/tbody>\n  <\/table>\n  <\/div>\n  <div class=\"warnbox\">\n    <strong>\ubd88\ud3b8\ud55c \uc9c4\uc2e4:<\/strong> \uc704 \ud568\uc815\ub4e4\uc740 \ubcf4\ud1b5 <strong>\uc5ec\ub7ec \uac1c\uac00 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0<\/strong> \uc791\ub3d9\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4 \u2014 \uacfc\uc801\ud569 + \ube44\uc6a9 \ubb34\uc2dc + \ub8e9\uc5b4\ud5e4\ub4dc\uac00 \uacb9\uccd0\uc11c \uc2dc\ubbac\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \ubd80\ud480\ub9ac\uace0 \uc57d\uc810\uc744 \uac00\ub9bd\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \ub354 \ubd88\ud3b8\ud55c \uac74 \u2014 \ucef4\ud4e8\ud305 \ud30c\uc6cc\ub85c \uc218\ubc31\ub9cc \uac1c \ud30c\ub77c\ubbf8\ud130 \uc870\ud569\uc744 \ub3cc\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc2dc\ub300\ub77c, &#8220;\ud760 \uc5c6\uc5b4 \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\uc870\ucc28&#8221; \uc804\ub7b5 \uac1c\ubc1c \uacfc\uc815 \uc790\uccb4\uac00 \ud1b5\uacc4\uc801 \ud0c0\ub2f9\uc131\uc744 \ud6fc\uc190\ud558\ub294 \ud3b8\ud5a5\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub798\uc11c \ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8 \uc218\uc775\ub960 \uc22b\uc790 \uc790\uccb4\ub97c \ubbff\uc73c\uba74 \uc548 \ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n  <\/div>\n\n  <h2>\uadf8\ub7fc \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uac80\uc99d\ud558\ub098 \u2014 \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc2e4\uc804\uc73c\ub85c \uc62e\uae38 \ub54c<\/h2>\n  <p>\ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub97c &#8220;\uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \uc790\ub791\ud558\ub294&#8221; \uac8c \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c &#8220;\uc5c9\ud130\ub9ac \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac70\ub974\ub294&#8221; \ub3c4\uad6c\ub85c \uc4f0\ub824\uba74:<\/p>\n  <div class=\"checklist\">\n  <ol>\n    <li><strong>\uaddc\uce59\uc744 \uc815\ud655\ud788, \ubaa8\ud638\ud568 \uc5c6\uc774 \uba3c\uc800 \uc815\uc758<\/strong> \u2014 &#8220;\ucd94\uc138\uac00 \uc88b\uc744 \ub54c \uc9c4\uc785&#8221; \uac19\uc740 \uc560\ub9e4\ud55c \uae30\uc900\uc740 \uc2e0\ub8b0\ud560 \uc218 \uc5c6\ub294 \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \ub0b3\uc74c.<\/li>\n    <li><strong>\uc778-\uc0d8\ud50c \/ \uc544\uc6c3-\uc624\ube0c-\uc0d8\ud50c \ubd84\ub9ac<\/strong> \u2014 \uc608: 2018~2022\ub85c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0, 2023~2025\ub85c \uac80\uc99d. \uc544\uc6c3-\uc624\ube0c-\uc0d8\ud50c\uc5d0\uc11c \ubb34\ub108\uc9c0\uba74 \uacfc\uc801\ud569.<\/li>\n    <li><strong>\uc6cc\ud06c\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc(walk-forward) \ucd5c\uc801\ud654<\/strong> \u2014 \uc2e4\uc81c \uc6b4\uc6a9\ucc98\ub7fc \uc77c\uc815 \uad6c\uac04\ub9c8\ub2e4 \uc7ac\uc870\uc815\ud558\uba70 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uad74\ub824\ubcf4\uae30. + \ubaac\ud14c\uce74\ub97c\ub85c \uc2dc\ubbac\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \uacb0\uacfc\uac00 \uc6b0\uc5f0\uc778\uc9c0 \ud655\uc778.<\/li>\n    <li><strong>\ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00<\/strong> \u2014 \uc2b9\ub960, \uc190\uc775\ube44(profit factor), \ud3c9\uade0 R, \ucd5c\ub300 \ub099\ud3ed(MDD), \uae30\ub300\uac12(expectancy). \uc218\uc775\ub960 \ud55c \uc22b\uc790\ub9cc \ubcf4\uc9c0 \ub9d0 \uac83.<\/li>\n    <li><strong>\ud55c \ubc88\uc5d0 \ud55c \ubcc0\uc218\ub9cc<\/strong> \u2014 \uc190\uc808\ud3ed \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\uba74 \uc190\uc808\ub9cc 2%\/3%\/5%\ub85c \ubc14\uafb8\uace0 \uc9c4\uc785\u00b7\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \ud06c\uae30\ub294 \uace0\uc815. \ub2e4\uc12f \uac1c\ub97c \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ubc14\uafb8\uba74 \ubb50 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc88b\uc544\uc84c\ub294\uc9c0 \uc54c \uc218 \uc5c6\uc74c.<\/li>\n  <\/ol>\n  <\/div>\n  <p><strong>\uc2e4\uc804\uc73c\ub85c \uc62e\uae38 \ub54c\ub294 \uc810\uc9c4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c:<\/strong> \u2460 \ud398\uc774\ud37c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529(\ubaa8\uc758)\uc73c\ub85c \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \u2192 \u2461 \uc18c\uc561(\uc6d0\ub798 \uc0ac\uc774\uc988\uc758 25~50%)\uc73c\ub85c \u2192 \u2462 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \ubcf4\uace0 \ucc9c\ucc9c\ud788 \ud0a4\uc6b4\ub2e4. \ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\uac00 \uc88b\uc558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc14\ub85c \ud480 \uc0ac\uc774\uc988\ub85c \uac00\ub294 \uac8c \uac00\uc7a5 \ud754\ud55c \uc0ac\uace0. AI \ubd07\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\ub9ac\ub294 \uac70\ub77c\uba74 \ub354\ub354\uc6b1 \u2014 \ubd07\uc740 \ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\uc758 \uac00\uc815\uc744 \uadf8\ub300\ub85c \uc2e4\ud589\ud560 \ubfd0\uc774\ub77c, \uac00\uc815\uc774 \ud2c0\ub9ac\uba74 \uadf8 \ud2c0\ub9b0 \uac78 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ubc18\ubcf5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n  <h2>\uc815\ub9ac \u2014 \ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc744 \ubbff\uc9c0 \ub9c8\uc138\uc694<\/h2>\n  <p>\ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\uc758 \uc5ed\uc124: \ud760 \uc5c6\uc5b4 \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\uc77c\uc218\ub85d \uc758\uc2ec\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uae54\ub054\ud55c 45\ub3c4 \uc790\uc0b0\uace1\uc120\uc740 &#8220;\uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ubbf8\ub798\uc5d0 \ub3c8\uc744 \ubc8c \uac83&#8221;\uc758 \uc99d\uac70\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c &#8220;\ub0b4\uac00 \uacfc\uac70 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \uc798 \ub9de\ucdc4\ub098&#8221;\uc758 \uc99d\uac70\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4\uc694. \uadf8\ub798\uc11c \ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub294 <strong>\ud569\uaca9 \ub3c4\uc7a5\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uac70\ub974\ub294 \uccb4<\/strong>\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4 \u2014 \uc5e3\uc9c0\uac00 \uc5c6\uac70\ub098 \ud3b8\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \ubd80\ud480\ub824\uc9c4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ubc84\ub9ac\ub294 \uc6a9\ub3c4.<\/p>\n  <p>\uadf8\ub7ec\ub2c8 \ubd07\uc744 \uc0ac\ub4e0 \uc9c1\uc811 \uc9dc\ub4e0, \ub204\uad70\uac00 &#8220;\uc774 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8 \uc218\uc775\ub960 \u25cb\u25cb%&#8221; \ub77c\uace0 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uba74 \u2014 \uadf8 \uc22b\uc790\ubcf4\ub2e4 &#8220;\uc5b4\ub5a4 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub85c, \ube44\uc6a9\uc740 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \ub123\uace0, \uc544\uc6c3-\uc624\ube0c-\uc0d8\ud50c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ub410\ub098&#8221;\ub97c \ubb3c\uc5b4\ubcf4\uc138\uc694. \uac70\uae30\uc11c \ub9c9\ud788\uba74 \uadf8 \ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub294 \uc2e0\ub8b0\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uac8c \ub9de\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. (\uc774 \uae00\uc740 \uac70\uae30\uae4c\uc9c0\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4 \u2014 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774\ub098 \uc0c1\ud488\ub3c4 \uad8c\uc720\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba70, \ud22c\uc790 \uacb0\uc815\uacfc \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc\ub294 \ubcf8\uc778 \ucc45\uc784\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.)<\/p>\n\n  <p style=\"font-size:15px;color:#64748b;\">\ucc38\uace0: \ubcf8\ubb38\uc740 2026\ub144 \uae30\uc900 \uacf5\uac1c \uc790\ub8cc(\ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud305 \uac00\uc774\ub4dc\u00b7\ud000\ud2b8 \uad50\uc721 \uc790\ub8cc \uc885\ud569)\uc5d0 \uadfc\uac70\ud55c \uc77c\ubc18 \uc815\ubcf4\uc774\uba70, \uac1c\uc778\uc758 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0 \ub9de\ub294 \uc870\uc5b8\uc774 \uc544\ub2d9\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790 \uc0ac\uae30\u00b7\ubbf8\ub4f1\ub85d \uc5c5\uccb4 \uc8fc\uc758 \uc815\ubcf4\ub294 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fss.or.kr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\uae08\uc735\uac10\ub3c5\uc6d0<\/a> \ub4f1 \uac10\ub3c5\uae30\uad00 \uc548\ub0b4\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/p>\n\n  <div style=\"background:#0f172a;color:#fff;border-radius:14px;padding:28px 24px;margin:36px 0 8px;text-align:center;\">\n    <h3 style=\"color:#fff;margin-bottom:10px;\">AI\u00b7\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529, \uac70\ud488 \ube7c\uace0 \uacc4\uc18d \uc815\ub9ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4<\/h3>\n    <p style=\"color:#cbd5e1;margin-bottom:0;font-size:15.5px;\">JUNAI \ube14\ub85c\uadf8\ub294 AI \ub3c4\uad6c\u00b7\uc790\ub3d9\ud654\u00b7\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uae30\uc220\uc744 \uac80\uc0c9\ub7c9 \ud070 \uc8fc\uc81c \uc704\uc8fc\ub85c, \uacfc\uc7a5 \uc5c6\uc774 \ub2e4\ub8f9\ub2c8\ub2e4. <a href=\"https:\/\/junai.ai\/blog\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" style=\"color:#93c5fd;\">junai.ai\/blog<\/a>\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\uc5b4 \ubcf4\uc138\uc694.<\/p>\n  <\/div>\n\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n\n<footer>\n  <div class=\"wrap\">\u00a9 2026 JUNAI \u00b7 \ubcf8 \ucf58\ud150\uce20\ub294 \uc815\ubcf4 \uc81c\uacf5 \ubaa9\uc801\uc758 \uc77c\ubc18 \uc790\ub8cc\uc774\uba70 \ud22c\uc790 \uc790\ubb38\u00b7\uad8c\uc720\uac00 \uc544\ub2d9\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790 \uacb0\uc815\uacfc \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc\ub294 \uc804\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\uc778 \ucc45\uc784\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/div>\n<\/footer>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uae54\ub054\ud55c \ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\uac00 \ub77c\uc774\ube0c\uc5d0\uc120 \uc65c \ubb34\ub108\uc9c0\ub098 \u2014 \uc624\ubc84\ud53c\ud305\u00b7\ub8e9\uc5b4\ud5e4\ub4dc\u00b7\uc0dd\uc874\ud3b8\ud5a5\u00b7\uac70\ub798\ube44\uc6a9\u00b7\ud45c\ubcf8 \ubd80\uc871 5\uac00\uc9c0 \ud568\uc815\uacfc \uac80\uc99d\ubc95. \uc815\ubcf4 \uc81c\uacf5\uc6a9, \ud22c\uc790 \uad8c\uc720 \uc544\ub2d8.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":195,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-199","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-trading-bot"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/junai.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/199","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/junai.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/junai.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/junai.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/junai.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=199"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/junai.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/199\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/junai.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/195"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/junai.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=199"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/junai.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=199"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/junai.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=199"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}